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Weekly Market Update
What do you need to know about the markets this week? Tune in to Paul Skinner's weekly market update for the lowdown on where the markets are and what investors should keep their eye on this week.
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Still waiting…Fed wants more data before cutting policy rates
Our expert dives into Fed policy following the July FMOC meeting.
Office to multifamily conversions: Implications for CMBS investors
Our experts explore the emerging trend in some US cities of converting office space into multi-family units and its implications for bond investors.
Multiple authors
Does the US election even matter? Thoughts on politics, Fed policy, and portfolios
What's next for interest rates and what impact will the US election have? Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger and Macro Strategist Mike Medeiros share their outlook and discuss the asset allocation implications.
Chart in Focus: Four key areas of opportunities in bonds amid Fed uncertainty
We discuss four key areas of opportunities in fixed income amid Fed uncertainty in the second half of the year.
Are US election probabilities now a critical driver of bond yields?
Our expert argues that the US election remains a critical catalyst for the bond market given the contrast between both parties as it relates to supply side policies such as trade and immigration, and to policy differences around taxation and regulation.
Financial Market Review
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Monthly Market Snapshot — June 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Ok, Boomer: How US generational wealth distribution could upend the economy and markets
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana discusses the implications of US Baby Boomers' wealth concentration in the event of a market decline.
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Time for credit selection to shine
Fixed income investors continue to seek answers to an era of volatile rates. Large, static exposures to credit markets no longer cut it. Instead, a nimble and dynamic approach is more likely to create resilient and consistent total return outcomes.
Ideas for navigating a new era
Explore our latest views on risks and opportunities across the global capital markets.
Bond Market Outlook
Our fixed income experts assess how to capitalize on market volatility with a flexible and dynamic approach that leverages diverse high-yielding opportunities and manages risks carefully.
Multiple authors
Looking beyond yield: rethinking your fixed income approach
In today's new market regime, any small changes in central bank policies could have outsized impacts on fixed income markets. Portfolio manager Connor Fitzgerald highlights how a dynamic, total return approach can navigate markets by focusing on optimising price return and capital preservation across market cycles.
Capitalizing on rate shifts: Parsing opportunities in the second half
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Campe Goodman and Fixed Income Strategist Amar Reganti discuss how to capitalize on potential rate shifts in the second half of the year
Reframing fixed income portfolios: why bond maths makes the difference
It is easy to understand why fixed income investors tend to focus on yields. But investors who focus too much on yield may run the risk of overpaying for income and underestimating the impact of price volatility.
Currency interventions — here to stay?
Marco Giordano and Danielle Wei discuss the growing risk of large-scale currency interventions and what investors can do to prepare for the associated risks and opportunities.
June FOMC meeting: May disinflation is welcome, but is not enough for a rate cut
Fixed Income Analyst Caroline Casavant discusses what June's FOMC meeting tells us about the US Federal Reserve’s latest thinking on interest-rate cuts.
Has the European credit cycle been extended?
2024 has kept fixed income investors busy. Yet, despite lingering inflation and rate volatility, European credit markets have remained strong. Are we looking at an extended credit cycle? And if so, what does this mean for investors?
Governments have been slow to reduce their fiscal deficits — it could cost them
Our expert explores the investment implications of continued excessive deficit spending by G7 countries.
The revenge of the monetarists
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana makes the case for a monetarist explanation for moderating inflation.
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Thriving or surviving? The state of the US consumer and the economic implications
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan examines the condition of the all-important consumer, including the outlook for spending, the effects of inflation and prevailing interest rates, and the consequences for the overall economy.
Battle for the supply side of the economy: US election implications
Starkly different policy agendas from Biden and Trump are examined in terms of how they may affect the supply side of the US economy.
Looking beyond yield: Rethinking the approach of fixed income investing
Investors face a new regime, challenging traditional assumptions about returns and volatility. With central bank interventions impacting credit markets, it’s time to rethink income allocations. Rather than fixating solely on yield, consider a dynamic approach, presented by Connor Fitzgerald.
Structuring core fixed income: A constructive view on market and macro conditions
Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger and Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Connor Fitzgerald discuss the interest-rate environment and the fundamental picture in investment-grade credit and high yield.
New era demands a nimble approach to credit
Our expert explains why deep research and an active approach are effective ways for fixed income investors to uncover credit opportunities in today's market.
With the Fed on hold, is the case for bonds kaput?
Amid worries about sticky inflation, the market has scaled back its expectations for interest rate cuts this year. But even if rate cuts are on hold a while longer, members of our Multi-Asset Team still think investors should consider a move from cash to bonds.
Powell back to waiting on inflation data
Our expert's key takeaways from the May FOMC meeting.
Impact investing in emerging markets: Growing opportunities, shifting challenges
Members of our impact bond team discuss their evolving emerging markets opportunity set and the importance of a bottom-up approach to value creation.
Multiple authors
Why an impact lens is an important tool in the fixed income investor's arsenal
Campe Goodman, Will Prentis and Oyin Oduya discuss how an impact lens can be an important tool in the fixed income investor's arsenal.
Multiple authors
The Fed’s lessons learned from its COVID response
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana breaks down the central bank's policy decisions during the pandemic and explains how they continue to affect financial markets.
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Three ways social considerations can enhance portfolios
Four leading Wellington equity and fixed income experts explore three ways social considerations can enhance portfolios.
Multiple authors
Picking the right building blocks for a climate-aware portfolio
For asset owners integrating climate change into their multi-asset portfolios, members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer five important insights.
Multiple authors
Monthly Market Snapshot — March 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Financial Market Review
A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Four questions for investors after Japan’s historic hike
With the Bank of Japan having finally moved out of negative rates, Macro Strategist John Butler identifies the four key questions he believes investors should focus on.
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Do fundamentals support a risk-on tilt?
Surprisingly strong economic growth, declining inflation, easy financial conditions — can it get any better for markets? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities.
Multiple authors
FOMC: Stable policy amid market volatility
The Fed is holding steady amid market turmoil. See our quick notes on the FOMC's March policy statement, forecasts, and the Fed chair's press conference.
Agency MBS key questions for 2024
Is there room for mortgage spreads to tighten further? Brian Conroy and Joseph Marvan examine this and seven other questions that will be significant for the agency MBS market in 2024.
Monthly Market Snapshot — February 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Monthly Market Snapshot — May 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Is there opportunity for high yield in today’s new economic era?
Is there opportunity for high yield in today’s new economic era? Portfolio Manager Konstantin Leidman explores.
The Trump/Biden rematch: Market implications of unprecedented policy divergence
Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan discusses six key areas of policy debate in this year's US election that she expects will matter most to markets, from the tax and spending plans to trade and geopolitics.
Is the US economy really that different since COVID?
US economists have been touting the resilience of the post-COVID economic rebound. Brij Khurana dissects several key economic indicators to see what's really changed since 2019.
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How to nurture a growth mindset in a higher-yielding landscape
In a higher-yield world, can fixed income deliver meaningful growth? John Mullins, Supriya Menon and Alex King explore how high-yield bonds may offer a powerful opportunity for growth - as well as a cushion against uncertainty.
Multiple authors
Income: the hard worker in your portfolio deserves more credit
Income from cash is good but income from bonds is better. In a less certain macro environment, Alex King, Supriya Menon and John Mullins think the case for income only gets stronger. How can investors make the most of opportunities?
Multiple authors
Adopt a new vantage point for diversifying your portfolio
Supriya Menon, Alex King and John Mullins explore why a diversified mixed of fixed income exposure is a key component of a nuanced approach to diversification in today's cyclical macro regime.
Multiple authors
Chart in Focus: Compelling opportunities in four higher-yielding credit sectors
Portfolio Managers Campe Goodman and Rob Burn share insights on where they are seeing compelling opportunities in high-yielding credit sectors.
Evaluating labelled bonds: a robust framework is key
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Campe Goodman and Investment Specialist Will Prentis explain why they believe a robust framework for analysing labelled, or sustainable, debt can help to generate real-world impact.
Back to the future: a new economic era
Macro Strategist John Butler explores why he believes the old macroeconomic model is broken and how best to navigate a new era of investing.
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How to reposition for a new economic era?
In this short video, Macro Strategist John Butler outlines the key features of the new economic era we are now entering.
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5 reasons to be active in fixed income
Actively managed fixed income portfolios have several distinct advantages over passive approaches.
Multiple authors
Why high-yield investors should keep a close eye on the default cycle
A peak in defaults may not be far off. What does this mean for investors considering a move to high yield?
Managing currency exposure in multi-asset portfolios: how to weigh the trade-offs and impact
Nick Samouilhan, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – APAC, evaluates the trade-offs of different currency hedging approaches and offers a novel framework for gauging their potential portfolio impact.
Multiple authors
Monthly Market Snapshot — January 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Too much focus on Fed, not enough on fiscal
Current US fiscal and monetary policy stances argue for risk taking in fixed income.
Top 5 fixed income ideas for 2024
With central banks set to pivot to accommodative policy, and elevated yields still prevailing, we think fixed income offers compelling opportunities. Here we share our top five ideas.
CLOs: 4 hot topics
Bank demand, net supply, the cycle for broadly syndicated loans, and loan fundamentals will be front and center for CLO investors in 2024.
Top of Mind: The allocator’s checklist for 2024 and beyond
Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger offers near- and longer-term ideas for allocators, including thoughts on areas where capital is scarce, alternatives may be attractive, and risks may bear watching.
Emerging markets debt: resilience in the face of adversity
Our expert discusses why she is positive on the outlook for emerging markets debt, even though growth will likely slow.
Financial Market Review
A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Monthly Market Snapshot – December 2023
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Bizarro World: Could 2024 be the opposite of 2023?
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana details the dynamics that may upend investor expectations of a repeat of 2023 this year.
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Why structural change in Germany may impact investors globally
Macro Strategists John Butler and Eoin O’Callaghan discuss why they believe the structural changes currently underway in Germany will impact investors globally.
Learning to love (or live with) a late-cycle environment
Are we actually in a late-cycle environment and, if so, how should allocators respond? Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger offers guidance, including on portfolio positioning, big cycle bets, and security selection.
Financial Market Review: Third quarter 2023
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Decoding impact expectations: best practices for impact investors and companies
We share three recommendations each for impact investors and companies to help them better understand and manage each other's expectations.
Blue bonds: long-awaited innovation or yet to make a splash?
Blue bonds – which aim to support projects related to ocean conservation – are on the rise. How effective are they and what do investors need to know before they invest?
Sector rotation opportunities for nimble credit investors
Following a credit market rally, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn still sees value in higher-yielding sectors but believes investors should stay nimble.
Monthly Market Snapshot — January 2023
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
What’s driving convertibles in 2023?
Following a challenging 2022, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Mike Barry and Investment Director Raina Dunkelberger highlight three tailwinds that may help turn the tide for convertibles.
European credit: seeking to make the most of the new market regime
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Derek Hynes and Investment Specialist Jillian Rooney assess why the new market regime is creating potentially compelling opportunities in the European credit market.
February Fed meeting: Chair Powell strikes a more optimistic tone
The Fed just might still be able to engineer the hoped-for "soft landing" but it's not going to be easy, says Fixed Income Analyst Caroline Casavant.
Monthly Market Snapshot — December 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Financial Market Review — Fourth quarter 2022
A quarterly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Spread the risk: Our top three fixed income diversifiers for 2023
Fixed Income Strategist Amar Reganti highlights three types of strategies that may be well positioned to provide fixed income portfolio diversification going forward.
CLOs: Poised to outperform in 2023?
Collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) have been sparking investor interest lately — and with good reason, say Investment Director Andrew Bayerl and Investment Specialist Celene Klimas.
Can US bank loans “carry” investors through 2023?
Fixed Income Portfolios managers Jeffrey Heuer, CFA and David Marshak and Investment Director Nick Leichtman describe what they see as the most prudent approach to the bank loans asset class in 2023 and why.
Take credit: Our five best credit market ideas for 2023
Fixed Income Strategist Amar Reganti highlights credit market opportunities that he expects to arise over the course of 2023, against a backdrop of slowing growth.
US recession risk: No longer if, but when and how bad
Portfolio Managers Brij Khurana, Brian Garvey, and Nick Petrucelli believe many observers are underestimating the severity of a potential US recession this year.
Multiple authors
Navigating the new global economy in 2023
This executive summary distills the points of view of several of our 2023 Outlook authors. Discover the risks and opportunities they see as we enter a new economic and market regime.
Picture this: Our 2023 economic forecast in five charts
We explain the shifts the market is undergoing, analyze the implications for different asset classes, and identify potential risks and opportunities in a series of visuals.
High yield: Opportunity to pivot in 2023?
Our high-yield bond portfolio managers have a guardedly optimistic outlook on the market and believe security selection will be key to benchmark-relative outperformance in 2023.
Multiple authors
Monthly Market Snapshot: November 2022
Currency outlook: Nearing the end of USD exceptionalism?
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Martin Harvey and Investment Communications Manager Jitu Naidu consider the present state of and outlook for the US dollar.
Hidden in plain sight: Overlooked opportunities in investment-grade credit
Fixed Income Strategist Amar Reganti and Investment Specialist Geoff Austein-Miller highlight some relatively simple, straightforward ways to implement a positive view on high-quality corporate credit.
How to find potential in volatile European high-yield markets?
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Konstantin Leidman discusses why European high-yield investors need to be ready for both further volatility and the emergence of new opportunities.
Monthly Market Snapshot: October 2022
High-yield bonds in 2023: Fortune favours the patient
Amid ongoing dislocation in the high-yield market, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Konstantin Leidman sees opportunities for investors to take advantage of potentially attractive valuations.
Emerging markets debt outlook: A glass half full or half empty?
Against a still-challenging global backdrop for emerging markets, Macro Strategist Gillian Edgeworth highlights opportunities created by extreme credit spread dispersion across individual countries.
Three tailwinds that could power CLO equity in 2023 and beyond
Three members of our fixed income team argue that the headwinds currently facing CLO equity should give way to improved returns in 2023 and beyond.
Multiple authors
Financial Market Review: Third quarter 2022
Bank of Japan policy shift: Waiting for the other shoe to drop?
Client Portfolio Manager Jitu Naidu and Investment Director Masahiko Loo share their take on the consensus view that Japan has reached several key inflection points.
A new economic era: Why inflation, volatility, and cycles are back
Macro Strategist John Butler argues that a seismic global shift is underway that will disrupt the macro dynamics of the past two decades, challenging long-held investment assumptions.
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Monthly Market Snapshot: September 2022
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
Can agency MBS bounce back from dismal performance?
Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brian Conroy and two colleagues weigh in on the mortgage-backed securities (MBS) market in the wake of a very challenging month.
Multiple authors
Credit market outlook: Partly sunny with a chance of good value
In his 2023 credit market outlook, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn highlights some potentially attractive opportunities in the wake of this year's market sell-off.
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Monthly Market Review — July 2024
A monthly update on equity, fixed income, currency, and commodity markets.
By
Brett Hinds
Jameson Dunn