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The US elections through the eyes of a European investor

Supriya Menon, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – EMEA, explores what potentially material implications upcoming US elections could have for European investors and identifies key areas to monitor closely.

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7 min
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2025-09-30
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What the yen carry trade unwind could mean for markets and the Fed

Brij Khurana explains why market participants are likely underestimating how foreign ownership of US assets could constrain the pace and magnitude of the Fed’s cutting cycle.

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7 min
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2025-09-30
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Four investment perspectives amid a pivotal US election

How can investors reposition portfolios for a pivotal but highly unpredictable US elections? Nick Samouilhan explores potential avenues in conversation with three leading portfolio managers.

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6 min
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2025-09-30
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Monthly Asset Allocation Outlook

How to evolve your portfolio for rapidly changing market conditions? Explore the latest monthly snapshot of our Multi-Asset Team’s asset class views.

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4 min
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2025-05-31
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Time to capitalise on the evolving role of bonds?

We outline why we think the new economic era is elevating the role of bonds as a source of attractive and stable income, downside protection and portfolio diversification.

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2 min
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2025-09-30
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Harris vs Trump: The foreign policy and investment implications

Our expert examines expected Harris and Trump foreign policies and their potential impact on the investment landscape.

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4 min
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2025-02-28
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Still waiting…Fed wants more data before cutting policy rates

Our expert dives into Fed policy following the July FMOC meeting.

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3 min
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2024-10-31
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Does the US election even matter? Thoughts on politics, Fed policy, and portfolios

What's next for interest rates and what impact will the US election have? Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger and Macro Strategist Mike Medeiros share their outlook and discuss the asset allocation implications.

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9 min
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2025-06-30
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Are US election probabilities now a critical driver of bond yields?

Our expert argues that the US election remains a critical catalyst for the bond market given the contrast between both parties as it relates to supply side policies such as trade and immigration, and to policy differences around taxation and regulation.

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3 min
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2024-11-30
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Chart in Focus: Broadening earnings growth signals healthy US equity market

Over the past year, the markets have seen the companies best poised to harness and benefit from new innovations within artificial intelligence rewarded accordingly.  Can this signal more upside for the entire US equity market?

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3 min
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2025-07-31
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Ok, Boomer: How US generational wealth distribution could upend the economy and markets

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana discusses the implications of US Baby Boomers' wealth concentration in the event of a market decline.

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5 min
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2025-06-30
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Time for credit selection to shine

Fixed income investors continue to seek answers to an era of volatile rates. Large, static exposures to credit markets no longer cut it. Instead, a nimble and dynamic approach is more likely to create resilient and consistent total return outcomes.

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5 min
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2025-07-31
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Ideas for navigating a new era

Explore our latest views on risks and opportunities across the global capital markets.

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2025-06-30
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Disappearing unicorns: The importance of capital efficiency in a higher-for-longer rate environment

Members of our late-state growth equity team share their views on the impact of interest rates on venture capital activity — including the ability of companies to reach “unicorns” status.

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8 min
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2025-07-01
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The revenge of the monetarists

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana makes the case for a monetarist explanation for moderating inflation.

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5 min
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2025-06-30
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Governments have been slow to reduce their fiscal deficits — it could cost them

Our expert explores the investment implications of continued excessive deficit spending by G7 countries.

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4 min
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2025-06-30
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Powell back to waiting on inflation data

Our expert's key takeaways from the May FOMC meeting.

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2 min
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2025-05-31
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Impact investing in emerging markets: Growing opportunities, shifting challenges

Members of our impact bond team discuss their evolving emerging markets opportunity set and the importance of a bottom-up approach to value creation.

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6 min
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2025-04-30
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The Fed’s lessons learned from its COVID response

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana breaks down the central bank's policy decisions during the pandemic and explains how they continue to affect financial markets.

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6 min
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2025-04-30
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Biden 2.0: National security and investment themes

The geopolitical and investment implications of a potential second Biden term.

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5 min
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2025-04-30
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The immigration surge: Political challenge, economic blessing?

Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan considers the impact of rising immigration, a top issue in this year's US elections, on growth, interest rates, and the labor market.

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4 min
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2025-04-30
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FOMC: Stable policy amid market volatility

The Fed is holding steady amid market turmoil. See our quick notes on the FOMC's March policy statement, forecasts, and the Fed chair's press conference. 

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2025-03-31
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Insurance Quick Takes: What's next for CLO risk charges?

Tim Antonelli, Head of Insurance Multi-Asset Strategy and Portfolio Manager, breaks down the impact of recent US insurance regulatory developments on the CLO universe, and why this matters for U.S. insurers. 

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2025-03-31
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Agency MBS key questions for 2024

Is there room for mortgage spreads to tighten further? Brian Conroy and Joseph Marvan examine this and seven other questions that will be significant for the agency MBS market in 2024.

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2025-03-31
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The Trump/Biden rematch: Market implications of unprecedented policy divergence 

Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan discusses six key areas of policy debate in this year's US election that she expects will matter most to markets, from the tax and spending plans to trade and geopolitics.

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2025-03-31
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Is the US economy really that different since COVID?

US economists have been touting the resilience of the post-COVID economic rebound. Brij Khurana dissects several key economic indicators to see what's really changed since 2019. 

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2025-03-31
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Too much focus on Fed, not enough on fiscal

Current US fiscal and monetary policy stances argue for risk taking in fixed income.

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2025-02-07
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Top 5 fixed income ideas for 2024

With central banks set to pivot to accommodative policy, and elevated yields still prevailing, we think fixed income offers compelling opportunities. Here we share our top five ideas.

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2025-02-28
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No more free lunch: Impact of higher interest rates on private equity strategies

We explain what the direct and indirect rate exposure of buyouts, venture capital, growth equity, secondaries, and fund-of-funds mean for investors.

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Article
2025-01-31
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The shifting liquidity landscape: What’s at stake?

The beginning of the end could be in sight for the Federal Reserve’s quantitative tightening (QT) program. US Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan considers the Fed's next steps and what they could mean for banks, liquidity, and markets broadly.

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Quick Take
2025-01-31
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Bizarro World: Could 2024 be the opposite of 2023?

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana details the dynamics that may upend investor expectations of a repeat of 2023 this year.

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Quick Take
2025-01-17
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Will a “Goldilocks” economy be just right for equity markets?

We provide an outlook on the ongoing shift to new investment regime, and the market segments that we expect will most heavily influence global equity performance in the coming year. 

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2024-12-31
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Public CRE debt — Risk, opportunity, or both?

Our experts explore the implications of the ongoing stress in the public CRE debt, or commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), space for investors and analyze risks and opportunities for ratings-constrained insurers.

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Quick Take
2024-09-30
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