- LDI Team Chair and Multi-Asset Strategist
United States, Intermediary
Change
The views expressed are those of the author at the time of writing. Other teams may hold different views and make different investment decisions. The value of your investment may become worth more or less than at the time of original investment. While any third-party data used is considered reliable, its accuracy is not guaranteed. For professional, institutional, or accredited investors only.
Today, many US corporate defined benefit (DB) plans may have the best opportunity to derisk in the last two-plus years — and we think they might want to consider taking advantage of it given the macro and market uncertainties that loom for the second half of 2024.
We estimate funded ratios have risen a hefty five percentage points year to date to 102% — the highest level of the post-GFC era.1 In contrast, funded positions rose a meager two percentage points in aggregate in 2022 and 2023, from 95% to 97%, leaving many plans’ derisking aspirations on hold.
Meanwhile, open questions related to the policy paths of the Fed and other central banks and the outcome of the US election (read up on our election insights here) may increase the impetus for taking action now. In short, we see a case for higher volatility in both equities and rates, translating into a wider range of potential funded-ratio outcomes. Plan sponsors may want to consider the potential benefits of locking in and protecting some of the year’s hard-fought gains ahead of the back half of the year.
Suggested action steps
- Run a real-time funded-ratio estimate, compare it to the plan’s glidepath triggers (formal or informal), and evaluate whether and how to derisk.
- Evaluate potential derisking strategies:
Credit (long or intermediate) — The focus here is on matching spread exposure in the liability. We think fundamentals and technicals are solid, and therefore spreads may stay tight and rangebound for longer. Corporations have pulled forward new issues year to date ahead of potential election volatility, while all-in yields remain attractive, which has kept demand strong. And while it’s a bit of a circular argument for an Alert suggesting that plans consider taking risk off the table, we think that with funded ratios hovering just above 100%, corporate DB plan derisking and demand from other liability-relative investors could keep long-end spreads tight.
Treasuries and STRIPS — This may help plans manage to hedge-ratio targets and maintain a healthy liquidity buffer for benefit payments, rebalancing, and any capital call needs.
Defensive equities — This may appeal to plans that want to reduce risk but have higher return objectives or that are looking to diversify their return-seeking allocation. In addition, we think valuations are attractive. (Read our recent article on defensive equities.)
Liquid infrastructure — This asset class provides an opportunity to 1) derisk via exposure to companies that may have steadier, more bond-like cash flows and 2) invest in potential growth themes, such as AI-driven demand for data centers and power generation.
1As of 26 April 2024. Based on estimated changes in yields and asset returns since reported funded ratios and discount rates at year-end 2023. Year-end data based on year-end 10-K filings of Russell 3000 companies in each given year with a December fiscal year end. 2023 estimate based on funded-ratio and discount rates estimated by Wellington Management based on change in high-quality corporate bond yields (Bloomberg US Long Credit Aa) since 31 December 2022 and performance of equities (MSCI World), bonds (blend of Bloomberg US Long Government/Credit and Bloomberg US Aggregate), other investments (blend of HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index, MSCI December All Country World, and Russell 2000), and real estate (NCREIF Property Index). Actual results may differ significantly from estimates. Results presented at the aggregate Russell 3000 Index level. Sources: FactSet, Wellington Management.
Stay up to date with the latest market insights and our point of view.
Showing
of
Insights Posts
Setting ROAs for 2025: A guide for US corporate and public plans
How are pension plans adjusting their ROA assumptions? And how do those assumptions line up with our long-term capital market assumptions? Find out in this annual update.
16
min
Whitepaper
2025-11-30
Why more corporate plans should pass on pension risk transfers
LDI Team Chair Amy Trainor explains why she believes a pension risk transfer may, in many cases, not be the best choice for fully funded plans from a cost/benefit standpoint.
5
min
Article
2025-11-30
Extra credit for corporate plans: Advanced topics in LDI implementation
To help corporate DB plans refine their liability-hedging strategies, members of our LDI Team take a deep dive on 3 key liability risks and offer ideas to help improve the design of hedging portfolios.
25
min
Whitepaper
2026-08-31
Private placements: A primer for corporate DB plans preparing to derisk
With many corporate DB plans exploring derisking opportunities, Portfolio Manager Elisabeth Perenick and Multi-Asset Strategist Amy Trainor discuss the potential role that private investment-grade credit, or private placements, could play and consider common questions about liquidity and allocation sizing.
9
min
Article
2025-08-31
The evolution of derisking: Assessing new and time-tested liability-hedging ideas
As defined benefit plans contemplate the best path to their eventual “end state,” members of our LDI team update their liability-hedging research with a blend of traditional benchmark ideas and new opportunities to capitalize on changing market conditions and a broader investment universe.
Continue reading
22
min
Whitepaper
2026-06-30
Using defensive equities in a return-seeking portfolio: A factor framework for corporate plans
Members of our LDI and Fundamental Factor teams share their views on defensive equity investments, including their role in a plan's portfolio and the current environment for defensive factors.
Article
2025-03-31
Bank downgrades: Should LDI investors be worried?
Members of our LDI team discuss the implications of recent US bank credit-rating downgrades and offer potential next steps for corporate plan sponsors.
Article
2024-11-30
Liability-hedging diversifiers: What’s on your pension’s playlist?
Corporate pensions moving closer to their end state may benefit from more diversified liability-hedging allocations. To help, LDI Team Chair Amy Trainor offers a liability-hedging diversifiers “playlist” — a set of asset classes and strategies that may harmonize well with a variety of objectives, from downside mitigation to long-term outperformance versus long corporate bonds.
Whitepaper
2024-10-31
Keep your spread and earn on it too? The case for intermediate credit
Amid heightened volatility and an uncertain macro environment, members of our LDI Team see opportunity for corporate plans in the intermediate credit market.
Article
2024-06-30
Mind the liquidity (and cost) gap: Revisiting a plan’s hedge-ratio approach
Members of our LDI Team take a fresh look at the process of setting and managing liability hedge ratio targets, including liquidity considerations that are top of mind today and the implementation toolkit.
Article
2025-06-30
LDI in 2023: Ten questions corporate plan sponsors are asking
Members of our LDI Team address a range of topics that US corporate plans will be thinking about in the coming year, from the investment implications of pension accounting changes to the role of alternatives in a return-seeking portfolio.
Article
2023-12-31
URL References
Related Insights