2025 Investment Outlook

Ideas for navigating a new era

2025-11-30
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The views expressed are those of the authors at the time of writing. Other teams may hold different views and make different investment decisions. The value of your investment may become worth more or less than at the time of original investment. While any third-party data used is considered reliable, its accuracy is not guaranteed. For professional, institutional, or accredited investors only.

At Wellington, we do not have one unified “house view” on the global economy and markets. That’s because we know that the best investment ideas are often uncovered when a diverse talent pool is encouraged to bring forward a range of unique, independent, and (at times) divergent perspectives. By debating new ideas and sharing research across asset classes, regions, and investment disciplines, our investors can uncover hidden insights, risks, and opportunities.

Looking ahead to 2025, our experts see a world defined by uncertainty and change, with mixed potential impacts on global market and economic outcomes. Macro Strategists John Butler and Eoin O’Callaghan dissect five key macro themes  they’re watching. Macro Strategist Juhi Dhawan focuses on the effects of incoming Trump administration policies , notably tariffs, immigration reform, taxes, and fiscal spending cuts. Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Brij Khurana breaks down specific market impacts of those policies  for US equities and fixed income.

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Private Investment Outlook

Private Equity Team members Michael Carmen, Will Craig, and Mark Watson are encouraged by the healthier environment for venture capital in 2025. In this year's outlook, they explore key themes for the year ahead, including: higher deployment, AI opportunities and risks, rebounding IPOs, and the near- and long-term impacts of the 2024 election.

In addition, our private credit experts, Emily Bannister and Sonali Wilson, highlight five critical trends for 2025: the convergence of public and private markets, AI's impact on private credit, the evolving role of banks in lending markets, the impact of higher interest rates, and the importance of financial covenants.