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Equity Market Outlook

In our Equity Market Outlook, we offer a range of fundamental, factor, and sector insights.

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2025-12-31
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Trump 2.0: Time to curb your enthusiasm? 

How does an allocator navigate markets when so much about the policy landscape is unknown? Our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offers their views on the new political realities in the US and their global implications, including for equities, bonds, and commodities.

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2025-12-31
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Monthly Asset Allocation Outlook

Wondering how to reposition your portfolio amid election-related uncertainty? Explore the latest monthly snapshot of our Multi-Asset Team’s asset class views.

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2025-12-31
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Don’t let recency bias get in the way of good investment ideas

Tim Antonelli, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – Insurance, offers ideas to help insurers avoid being anchored to recent events and build portfolio resilience, from locking in higher yields to taking a more dynamic approach with surplus assets.

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2025-11-30
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Chart in Focus: Is the “Trump trade” real?

Is this "Trump trade" real?In this latest edition of Chart in Focus, we compare market's reactions to Trump's re-election and his 2016 election, and share our observations.

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2025-11-29
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Chart in Focus: Can this equity bull market last?

Can this current equity bull market last? In this latest edition of Chart in Focus, we focus on the indicators of whether it may come to an end or keep running.

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2025-11-30
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What do the US election results mean for investors?

The US election results could have significant implications for the global economy and capital markets. Our panel of experts provides a thorough analysis of what happened and explores potential market impacts.

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2025-11-30
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Take it “ease”-y

Tim Antonelli, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – Insurance and Portfolio Manager, explains why he thinks insurers should consider locking in current yields and sticking with global equity exposure.

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2025-10-31
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Sahm rules are meant to be broken

Fed easing is finally here and fundamentals remain favorable. But what about that election? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities.

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2025-10-31
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Chart in Focus: What does the rate cut mean for equities and bonds?

Are rate cuts positive? On the heels of the much-anticipated initial Fed cut, in this article we look to historic precedent for where the markets could go in the coming months.

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2025-09-30
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Chart in Focus: The need to differentiate market growth from macro growth

Macro growth and earnings growth have been misaligned for the last 15 years, particularly in the US and China, but in opposite directions. For equity investors, what would be the key to identify real growth?

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2025-09-30
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The US elections through the eyes of a European investor

Supriya Menon, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – EMEA, explores what potentially material implications upcoming US elections could have for European investors and identifies key areas to monitor closely.

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2025-09-30
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Four investment perspectives amid a pivotal US election

How can investors reposition portfolios for a pivotal but highly unpredictable US elections? Nick Samouilhan explores potential avenues in conversation with three leading portfolio managers.

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2025-09-30
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Massive market sell-off: Justified or an overreaction?

What's behind the global market meltdown, and what should investors consider doing?  Global Investment and Multi-Asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson shares her views.

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2025-08-31
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The AI effect: Time to rethink your technology exposure?

Will AI fulfill the market's high expectations? Will it continue to drive market concentration? Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger and Global Industry Analyst Brian Barbetta, co-head of our Technology team, discuss the outlook and the asset allocation implications.

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2025-07-31
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Come on in, the water’s fine! Ready for a surplus summer

Tim Antonelli, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – Insurance and Portfolio Manager, explains why he continues to see reserve fixed income as the sweet spot for insurers and why there may be upside for equities.

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2025-07-31
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Chart in Focus: Broadening earnings growth signals healthy US equity market

Over the past year, the markets have seen the companies best poised to harness and benefit from new innovations within artificial intelligence rewarded accordingly.  Can this signal more upside for the entire US equity market?

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2025-07-31
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Breaking concentration: big picture thinking with small-cap equities

How to overcome the risks associated with today's concentrated market? Investment Director John Mullins explores why small-cap equities could be part of the answer.

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2025-07-31
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All-time highs and CPIs: What comes next?

Global fundamentals have kept markets content so far this year, but will politics sour the mood? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their views on the second half of 2024, including on equities, bonds, and commodities.

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2025-01-08
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Divergence isn’t just about central bank policy

Divergence has implications for investors —and central bank divergence is only one of five ways to think about it.

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2025-06-30
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Investing in “3D”: Forces shaping alternatives opportunities in 2024

Multi-Asset Strategists Adam Berger and Nick Samouilhan offer six ideas from the hedge fund and liquid alternatives investment space, from global macro to multi-strategy approaches.

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2025-06-30
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Value stocks: Rules of thumb are meant to be broken

What will it take for value stocks to bounce back from a long period of underperformance? Members of our iStrat Team say that, conventional wisdom aside, it's not all about the economic cycle and offer their outlook for the next three to five years.

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2026-05-31
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Structuring core fixed income: A constructive view on market and macro conditions

Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger and Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Connor Fitzgerald discuss the interest-rate environment and the fundamental picture in investment-grade credit and high yield.

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2025-05-30
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New era demands a nimble approach to credit

Our expert explains why deep research and an active approach are effective ways for fixed income investors to uncover credit opportunities in today's market.

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2025-05-31
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With the Fed on hold, is the case for bonds kaput?

Amid worries about sticky inflation, the market has scaled back its expectations for interest rate cuts this year. But even if rate cuts are on hold a while longer, members of our Multi-Asset Team still think investors should consider a move from cash to bonds.

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2025-05-30
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What could change the trajectory of value stocks?

Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger and Equity Portfolio Manager Nataliya Kofman discuss “resilient” value stocks, disruptive themes, and attractive sector- and country-level opportunities.

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2025-05-31
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Small-cap stocks: Watching for mean reversion, technology diffusion, and the next inflection point

Our experts discuss factors that could help small-cap stocks rebound and the search for winners in this inefficient segment of the market.

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2024-12-31
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4 equity themes: Budding opportunities in small caps and more

Our expert highlights 4 areas where he sees opportunity in global equity markets.

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2025-04-30
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Picking the right building blocks for a climate-aware portfolio

For asset owners integrating climate change into their multi-asset portfolios, members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer five important insights.

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2025-04-30
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Risky business: Is now the time for surplus action?

Tim Antonelli, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – Insurance and Portfolio Manager, considers insurers' renewed interest in risk assets and offers his views on areas that may be worth a closer look.

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2025-04-30
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Do fundamentals support a risk-on tilt?

Surprisingly strong economic growth, declining inflation, easy financial conditions — can it get any better for markets? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities. 

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2025-03-31
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No bulls in the China shop?

John Mullins, Irmak Surenkok and Steven Ye assess the investment debate surrounding China's prolonged underperformance and outline three investment ideas for active investors to consider.

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2025-03-31
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Income: the hard worker in your portfolio deserves more credit

Income from cash is good but income from bonds is better. In a less certain macro environment, Alex King, Supriya Menon and John Mullins think the case for income only gets stronger. How can investors make the most of opportunities? 

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2025-03-31
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How to nurture a growth mindset in a higher-yielding landscape

In a higher-yield world, can fixed income deliver meaningful growth? John Mullins, Supriya Menon and Alex King explore how high-yield bonds may offer a powerful opportunity for growth - as well as a cushion against uncertainty.

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2025-03-31
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Adopt a new vantage point for diversifying your portfolio

Supriya Menon, Alex King and John Mullins explore why a diversified mixed of fixed income exposure is a key component of a nuanced approach to diversification in today's cyclical macro regime.

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2025-01-31
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Top of Mind: The allocator’s checklist for 2024 and beyond

Head of Multi-Asset Strategy Adam Berger offers near- and longer-term ideas for allocators, including thoughts on areas where capital is scarce, alternatives may be attractive, and risks may bear watching.

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2025-01-31
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Multi-Asset Market Outlook

To help think through the asset allocation outlook and implications for 2023, we offer views from iStrat, our investment strategy and solutions group

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2024-12-31
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Navigating a volatile reality: three ideas for 2024 and beyond

2023 saw investors grapple with a new, more volatile reality. How should portfolios be positioned for opportunities and challenges in 2024? 

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2025-01-31
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Fork in the road: Slowdown or reacceleration ahead?

Markets seem to expect a much smoother ride in 2024, but are they too optimistic? Members of our Investment Strategy & Solutions Group offer their macro and market outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities. 

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2026-01-31
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2024 Insurance Outlook: Position portfolios for the unexpected

Tim Antonelli offers two critical ideas for insurers' 2024 investment planning: doubling down on diversification and rethinking risk, including geopolitical and default risk.

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2024-12-31
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Embracing uncertainty: Three alternatives ideas for a macro-driven world

Even as investors wrestle with the economic unknowns heading into 2024, Multi-Asset Strategists Nick Samouilhan and Adam Berger see opportunities to put alternative investments to work.

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2024-12-31
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You snooze, you may lose: The case for bonds

There are signs the Federal Reserve's rate-hiking cycle may be nearing an end, but some uncertainty remains. With that in mind, Multi-Asset Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson considers the timing of a move from cash to bonds.

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2024-11-30
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Deglobalisation and divergence: opportunity or threat?

John Butler and Supriya Menon discuss the drivers underpinning growing macroeconomic divergence and deglobalisation and what it may mean for asset allocators. 

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2024-10-31
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Early 2024 resolutions: Enjoy the yield but be smart with your surplus

What should insurers expect from markets as we approach the end of the year? Tim Antonelli, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – Insurance and Portfolio Manager, offers his views and identifies areas that may be worth a closer look.

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2024-10-31
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Is bad news for the economy actually good news for markets?

While it has taken longer than expected, higher interest rates are starting to take their toll on the global economy and the "bad news is good news" market narrative could be changing. Members of our Investment Strategy team offer their macro and market outlook, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities. 

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2024-03-31
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Insurance Quick Takes: Understanding the latest shifts in mortality and longevity

Tim Antonelli, Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – Insurance, discusses recent trends and patterns on mortality and longevity, why this topic is important for global insurers of all types and sizes today, and potential opportunities.

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2025-08-31
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Core fixed income: Stop me if you’ve heard this one before

Head of Multi-Asset Strategy – Insurance and Portfolio Manager Tim Antonelli updates insurers on the status of the market today, shares what he believes they can expect for the rest of the year, and identifies areas that may be worth a closer look.

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2024-07-31
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A test for the global economy

What are the similarities and differences between the US regional banking crisis and 2008's global financial crisis? How likely is a recession? Should investors be focusing on value or growth? In this podcast, Macro Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson shares her interpretation of where the economy is headed, outlining where the risks and opportunities may lie for investors in the next 12 months.

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2024-07-31
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How a thematic approach can help harness change within portfolios

Multi-Asset Strategist Supriya Menon and Investment Director Andrew Sharp-Paul discuss why a thematic approach can help harness change within portfolios against a structurally different macroeconomic backdrop.

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2024-07-31
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Multi-Asset Outlook: A recession is looming…or is it?

The economy has largely shrugged off the banking crisis and other concerns this year, while riding positive sentiment driven by AI enthusiasm and a possible soft landing. Members of our Investment Strategy team offer their macro and market outlook for the second half of the year, including their latest views on equities, bonds, and commodities.

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2024-07-31
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How to weather the storm: A roadmap for more resilient portfolios

As we face a new era of elevated market and cycle volatility, Co-Head of Investment Strategy Natasha Brook-Walters assesses how asset owners can ensure that their portfolios are up for the challenge.

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2024-07-31
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Focus on what you can control: Five alternative investment ideas for an uncertain world

Multi-Asset Strategists Nick Samouilhan and Adam Berger explain how a variety of alternative investments, including select hedge funds and private credit, could help allocators reduce the importance of the economic cycle to their portfolio results.

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2024-06-30
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Today’s sweet spot for yield, the growing role of alts

Insurance Multi-Asset Strategist Tim Antonelli provides his latest multi-asset views for insurers, with an emphasis on the value of core fixed income in today's environment.

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2023-10-15
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Win by losing? The surprising truth about long-term active management

Research shows that even the best managers have had to bounce back from periods of underperformance. For asset owners who've invested time and effort to find these managers, the data argues for cultivating a long-term mindset.

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2024-04-30
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On to the next crisis: Glimpsing a post-SVB world

Amid the turmoil in the US banking sector, Global Investment Strategist Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson suggests investors consider pivoting to a “risk-management mode” that favors higher-quality assets. (Published 14 March 2023)

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2024-03-31
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SVB collapse: What are the implications?

Multi-Asset Strategist Supriya Menon shares her latest perspectives on the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank Financial Group (SVB) and the unfolding implications for investors. (Published 14 March 2023)

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2024-03-31
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More currency volatility ahead: Which hedges could help?

To help investors begin to think about elevated currency risk, as well as opportunities to generate alpha through active currency management, members of our iStrat Team offer an overview of hedging approaches and their potential tradeoffs.

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2024-02-29
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An allocator’s playbook for 2023

Natasha Brook-Walters, co-head of iStrat, examines the three objectives allocators may wish to focus on in 2023.

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2023-12-31
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Multi-Asset Outlook — A rocky road to recovery in 2023

Markets may be jumping the gun when it comes to expectations for a policy pivot and the likely risk-asset rewards. Members of our Investment Strategy team still see bumps in the economic road, though their outlook has brightened a bit when it comes to China and other emerging markets.

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Article
2024-07-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

Adding thematic equity investments to a multi-asset portfolio: An allocator’s handbook

Thematic investing may add a powerful return engine to portfolios, but allocators sometimes struggle with implementation decisions. Members of our Investment Strategy Team offer a framework for thinking about allocation size, strategy selection, and performance evaluation.

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Whitepaper
2024-01-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.

2023 Insurance Outlook: Resolve to solve with a restocked toolkit

Multi-Asset Strategist Tim Antonelli and Insurance Strategist Max Davies share four actionable ideas designed to help insurers successfully navigate 2023.

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Whitepaper
2023-12-31
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Archived pieces remain available on the site. Please consider the publish date while reading these older pieces.