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Bond Market Outlook

Our fixed income experts assess how to capitalize on market volatility with a flexible and dynamic approach that leverages diverse high-yielding opportunities and manages risks carefully.

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2025-12-31
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High-yield credit investing: it’s a marathon, not a sprint

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Konstantin Leidman explains his focus on the high-quality companies likely to outperform over the long term and why he is wary of the hype surrounding potentially bubble-inducing developments like generative AI.

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5 min
Article
2026-01-01
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Opportunities in high yield: ready, steady, pounce?

Fixed income investors face a fundamentally different environment, but opportunities to target growth in high yield are emerging, provided investors can stay on the front foot.

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6 min
Article
2025-09-30
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A new economic era: three reasons to revisit bonds?

Investment Director Marco Giordano explains why he believes the new economic era is creating a wide range of opportunities for research-driven bond strategies to offer investors stable income combined with downside protection and diversification.

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2 min
Video
2025-09-30
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Capitalizing on rate shifts: Parsing opportunities in the second half

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Campe Goodman and Fixed Income Strategist Amar Reganti discuss how to capitalize on potential rate shifts in the second half of the year

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7 min
Article
2025-06-30
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Bonds in brief: making sense of the macro — April issue

What's driving global bond markets and what are the investment implications? Read the April issue of "Bonds in brief" for Wellington Investment Director Marco Giordano's monthly assessment of risks and opportunities within bond markets.

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4 min
Article
2025-05-31
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Bonds in brief: making sense of the macro — March issue

What's driving global bond markets and what are the investment implications? Read the latest "Bonds in brief" for Wellington Investment Director Marco Giordano's monthly assessment of risks and opportunities within bond markets.

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4 min
Article
2025-04-30
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FOMC: Stable policy amid market volatility

The Fed is holding steady amid market turmoil. See our quick notes on the FOMC's March policy statement, forecasts, and the Fed chair's press conference. 

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Quick Take
2025-03-31
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Agency MBS key questions for 2024

Is there room for mortgage spreads to tighten further? Brian Conroy and Joseph Marvan examine this and seven other questions that will be significant for the agency MBS market in 2024.

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Quick Take
2025-03-31
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Is there opportunity for high yield in today’s new economic era?

Is there opportunity for high yield in today’s new economic era? Portfolio Manager Konstantin Leidman explores.

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2025-03-31
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How to nurture a growth mindset in a higher-yielding landscape

In a higher-yield world, can fixed income deliver meaningful growth? John Mullins, Supriya Menon and Alex King explore how high-yield bonds may offer a powerful opportunity for growth - as well as a cushion against uncertainty.

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12 min
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2025-03-31
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Bonds in brief: making sense of the macro - February issue

What's driving global bond markets and what are the investment implications? Read February's "Bonds in brief" for Wellington Investment Director Marco Giordano's monthly assessment.

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2025-03-31
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5 reasons to be active in fixed income

Actively managed fixed income portfolios have several distinct advantages over passive approaches.

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2025-02-28
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Why high-yield investors should keep a close eye on the default cycle

A peak in defaults may not be far off. What does this mean for investors considering a move to high yield? 

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Article
2025-03-31
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Bonds in brief: making sense of the macro - January issue

What's driving global bond markets and what are the investment implications? Read January's "Bonds in brief" for Wellington Investment Director Marco Giordano's monthly assessment.

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2025-02-28
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Global high-yield outlook: Near term, defensive but longer term, solid

High-yield portfolio managers Mike Barry and Konstantin Leidman discuss their 2024 outlook and the merits of a near-term defensive stance with an eye on longer-term opportunities.

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Quick Take
2024-12-31
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Macro implications of the AI revolution: is the market right?

Macro Strategist John Butler sets out an initial framework to help answer key questions about the potential macro impact of artificial intelligence.

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2024-11-30
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How to interpret the Bank of Japan’s latest policy shift

We analyse the wide-ranging investment implications of the Bank of Japan's latest policy shift.

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Quick Take
2024-08-31
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US loses its AAA rating (again)

US Macro Strategist Michael Medeiros analyzes Fitch's recent downgrade of US credit quality and explores the bigger issues at play.

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2024-08-31
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More green shoots: Tracking trends in sustainable debt issuance

While growth in the sustainable debt market has been uneven, certain pockets offer substantial opportunities. Two of our fixed income investment professionals weigh in.

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2024-06-30
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Global high yield: Attractive entry points could soon emerge

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Konstantin Leidman shares his outlook for high-yield fixed income for the rest of this year and beyond.

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2024-06-30
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How do bond investors approach the new volatile regime? 

Wellington fixed income experts provide an analysis on how to navigate short-term volatility and reposition portfolios for the structural changes occurring in fixed income markets. Watch the replay here. 

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Event replay
2024-05-31
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High-yield bonds: Too early to get aggressive?

Our high-yield team suggests a somewhat defensive risk posture for now but expects opportunities to take on greater risk to arise later this year.

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2024-04-30
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High yield: Opportunity to pivot in 2023?

Our high-yield bond portfolio managers have a guardedly optimistic outlook on the market and believe security selection will be key to benchmark-relative outperformance in 2023. 

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2024-01-31
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How to find potential in volatile European high-yield markets?

Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Konstantin Leidman discusses why European high-yield investors need to be ready for both further volatility and the emergence of new opportunities.  

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Article
2023-12-31
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High yield bonds in 2023
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High-yield bonds in 2023: Fortune favours the patient

Amid ongoing dislocation in the high-yield market, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Konstantin Leidman sees opportunities for investors to take advantage of potentially attractive valuations.

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Article
2023-12-31
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Credit market outlook: Partly sunny with a chance of good value

In his 2023 credit market outlook, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn highlights some potentially attractive opportunities in the wake of this year's market sell-off.

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Article
2023-12-31
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Fixed income: Relative value opportunities amid growth slowdown
In the face of this year's fixed income market turmoil, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager Rob Burn sees attractive opportunities for investors with longer-term time horizons.
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Quick Take
2022-10-31
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